According to projections released yesterday, starting from 2006 levels, world marketed energy consumption will likely grow by 44 percent by 2030 and unconventional sources could provide nearly half of this growth.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration, in its latest International Energy Outlook seems to think that production growth from unconventional resources, including oil sands, extra heavy oil, and gas-to-liquids fuels will be “almost as large as the increase for conventional supplies.”
And though this should be right (and hopefully is), there is a condition to the EIA forecast that remains unsettled. The IEO2009 reference case released yesterday “reflects a scenario in which current laws and policies remain unchanged throughout the projection period.”
Lately, this is a point of concern. Continue reading
















